Did Trump Tweet Multiple Predictions That Obama Would Attack Iran?

Failed prognostications don't fade away -- they gain immortality in the digital age.

  • Published 2 July 2019

Claim

On multiple occasions Donald Trump tweeted predictions that President Obama would order an attack on Iran.

Origin

One of the advantages of campaigning as a political outsider who is new to elective office is that you have no track record to defend — you can criticize and pick away at the actions experienced politicians and incumbents have taken without fear of having the tables turned on you. That approach only works once, however: once you gain office, you become fair game for the same type of attacks yourself.

That phenomenon played out quite prominently with U.S. President Donald Trump in June 2019, as tensions between the United States and Iran ratcheted up and news reports suggested the U.S. had come close to launching a Trump-approved military strike on Iran.

Before gaining the White House (his first elective office), Trump had been particularly critical of incumbent president Barack Obama, repeatedly tweeting over a span of years his prediction that President Obama would “attack” or “start a war” with Iran. Initially Trump maintained that Obama would do so to boost his re-election chances, then when the 2012 election (which Obama won) passed without an attack on Iran, Trump shifted to offering other reasons. The full list of Trump’s proffered rationales for an Obama-led attack on Iran eventually encompassed all of the following:

  • “to get elected” (i.e., to win re-election)
  • “because of his inability to negotiate properly”
  • “to show how tough he is”
  • “to boost his poll numbers”
  • “to save face”

As the contretemps with Iran flared up in mid-2019, some of Trump’s critics — many of whom had leveled the very same accusations against him over his conduct of U.S. foreign policy — took to posting collections of his tweets about President Obama and Iran via social media:

All of the tweets featured in those collections were in fact posted by Donald Trump’s Twitter account and remain undeleted to this day. Here are all of them as they appeared, in chronological order:

President Obama ended his two terms in office without initiating or ordering any military attack on Iran.

Snopes.com
Since 1994
A Word to Our Loyal Readers

Support Snopes and make a difference for readers everywhere.

Editorial
  • David Mikkelson
  • Doreen Marchionni
  • David Emery
  • Bond Huberman
  • Jordan Liles
  • Alex Kasprak
  • Dan Evon
  • Dan MacGuill
  • Bethania Palma
  • Liz Donaldson
Operations
  • Vinny Green
  • Ryan Miller
  • Chris Reilly
  • Chad Ort
  • Elyssa Young

Most Snopes assignments begin when readers ask us, “Is this true?” Those tips launch our fact-checkers on sprints across a vast range of political, scientific, legal, historical, and visual information. We investigate as thoroughly and quickly as possible and relay what we learn. Then another question arrives, and the race starts again.

We do this work every day at no cost to you, but it is far from free to produce, and we cannot afford to slow down. To ensure Snopes endures — and grows to serve more readers — we need a different kind of tip: We need your financial support.

Support Snopes so we continue to pursue the facts — for you and anyone searching for answers.

Team Snopes